This moring I told you guys about the Q poll that dropped on Georgia. The Atlanta Journal Constitution just released their polling. It has more bad news for David Perdue. Remember, Perdue released his internal polling in December — just one month ago. It had him crushing Kemp.
That’s not the way any other poll is panning out.
The AJC poll shows a few things.
First, it shows Joe Biden has a strong disapproval rating in Georgia of 50% and a total disapproval of 61%. That explains why Stacey Abrams refused to be on stage with him.
Second, it shows Brian Kemp beats Stacey Abrams with 7.3%. The AJC pollsters say that is “statistically significant.” The actual number is Kemp beats Abrams 48.1% to 40.8%. Perdue actually beats Abrams too at 3.9%, though the pollsters call that “a statistical tie” This is the first major poll showing Perdue ahead of Abrams at all, even though it is technically a tie when applying the margin of error to both of them. Only Kemp’s lead exceeds the margin of error.
CORRECTED: The poll also shows Herschel Walker would beat Raphael Warnock by 3.5%, which the AJC labels a statistical tie. Warnock would beat Georgia’s Agriculture Commissioner, Gary Black by 5 points.
(Editor’s Note: originally, I said Warnock would beat Walker. I misread the line. My apologies.)
Kemp has a 48.3% approval rating in the AJC poll, which outpaces the Q poll approval rating.
This poll did not poll the Republican Primary, but it did note that voters, at this point, don’t care about a candidate having a Trump endorsement and, in fact, in the general election a third of independent voters and fifty-two percent of moderate voters would be more likely to vote against a person with strong support from Donald Trump. That, should Perdue be the nominee, helps Stacey Abrams in the very swingy suburbs of Atlanta.
Perdue will hand over the governor's house to Abrams by tearing down the party. There's no reason to challenge Kemp. A pox on him and Trump. And I like Walker but he is a future failed candidate. I'll be retiring soon and will leave the GA control of Abrams, Warnock and Pajama Boy for the friendly confines of FL. Way to go GA Republicans for the self-inflicted wounds. You'll only have yourselves to blame, although you won't admit it.
I know a candidate can't cut and run when a poll goes against them, they have to believe in themselves and continue to convince the voters.
Perdue unfortunately appears to be, as you said, humping Trump's leg. He lost to Ossoff, because 1) he ran a poor campaign, and 2) Trump.
He has no path to convince voters, other than Trumpers, he is a better option than Kemp.
Why not run against Warnock? Oh, right, because Trump wanted a guy with mental illness to run.