Events Change Things
Last night, I gave a talk on running elections and polling data. The bottom line for you is that every pollster I have talked to agrees the polls are off. But they all also agree that trendlines in polling averages are still helpful and indicate an accurate trend.
Republican and Democrat polls have shown increasing, but still low, approval for President Biden. They’ve also shown a shift in voter sentiment towards the Democrats. But, as I have said repeatedly, events change things. Yesterday, such an event occurred.
As Democrats gathered at the White House to celebrate the Inflation Reduction Act, inflation went up more than expected despite gas prices falling. As a result, and in anticipation of higher interest rates, the markets plunged. Joe Biden did that.
Notably, after Biden celebrated the Inflation Reduction Act on the day inflation spiked, he flew to Delaware to vote in an election. Instead of casting an absentee ballot, the President of the United States got on board a Boeing 757, used two motorcades, and local police all to go cast a ballot in an election with no seriously contested races. Marie Antoinette anyone?
The wind at the Democrats’ backs turns out to be an economic hurricane building. We are already in a technical recession, and the recession of fundamentals is building. It’ll hit sometime in the first quarter of next year right as Democrats try to assess their future and Biden’s future. It will probably last for so long, with so much damage to the economy, that even once we are out of it, people will not feel good about things.
And right now, Democrats control everything in Washington and want to make the election about abortion and Donald Trump.
It’s the economy, stupid. It always has been. The GOP just needs to stay on message. Don’t look now, but Larry Summers, who every Democrat keeps an eye on, says the Fed going all the way to 4% with interest rates will not get inflation back down to 2%. They’ll have to go higher.
It's not just one plane. A backup usually flies with the president carrying the press corps. Plus multiple C-5s bring in the presidential limo and the other motorcade vehicles.
Biden just emitted more greenhouse gasses on one needless trip than I will if I live to be a million years old. He spent tens of thousands of dollars when a Forever stamp would suffice.
To quote Greta Thunberg, "How DARE you."
I never want to hear one more single syllable from anyone in the Biden Administration about climate change and the need to reduce our carbon footprint.
The Polls showing people leaning towards Democrats is ludicrous. Their current policies are like getting an incurable disease. You won’t survive and that is their goal. A smaller population is easier to control.
Inflation, Electricity costs, fuel costs, food costs, everything costs up because of Democrats. People aren’t as naive as Democratic Pollsters who seem to have a short between their Head Set and
Their eyes are blurred .