Well, I may be flat out wrong with how I’ve read all the data, but wrong for the wrong reason.
What we are seeing in Georgia right now is that the GOP voters are not showing up and the Democrat voters are. The GOP reliably got over 50% of the vote in the combined legislative races for congress, state house, and state senate in November. Those voters are not showing up.
Over three-quarters of Republicans who voted said they think the November election was stolen. The President’s campaign actually went on the air in Georgia in the last few days to tell Republicans that November was stolen. The Georgia Republican Party Chairman has been all over TV and the internet telling voters the November election was stolen.
Turns out Republican voters took it all seriously, which I could not conceive would be so. And yet…
It is 9pm and the GOP can still win. But if they win, it will be far, far closer than it should be and frankly, at 9pm, it just looks bad for them.
Democrats are turning up close to their November numbers.
Republicans are turning up way less than November.
The Republican leaders, from the party to the president, have convinced their base there is no point in voting and the voters have believed it.
It is simply amazing.
Again, though, it is 9pm and North Georgia Republicans can pull it out for the GOP. It just is looking less likely at this point.
In my mind Trump owns this catastrophic defeat from one end to the other. For two months how, he's had his crazy people like Sidney Powell and Lin Wood running around shouting conspiracy theories. He's had all of his own attempts to push the fraud line, threatening the Governor, threatening the Secretary of State, and telling everyone in Georgia they couldn't trust the elections. And as a result of the self-administered well poisoning, lots of people stayed home despite the hundreds of millions of dollars that were spent trying to get them to cast their ballots, one way or the other.
Anyone sane could have predicted that if you take a large group of exhausted voters, undermine their confidence in the meaning of their votes, and then beat them over the head with that messaging for two months while you fracture the party and force people to make terrible choices at the point of a spear, threaten others, and make everything about One Man and his fury, a lot of people are going to stay away. And that's what happened.
It is simply sad!! If the GOP does not get Trump out of the equation, they will keep loosing... sad.