Some Breaking News

Just so y’all know, the Libertarian candidate in the Arizona Senate race is dropping out. Marc Victor is his name, and he has decided to endorse Blake Masters.

The polling had already narrowed significantly in Arizona and Republicans are already outpacing their early vote from both 2018 and 2020. This gives some fresh momentum to Masters at the end of the race.

The GOP really could get to 53 seats.

I’ve gone back and forth on whether Herschel Walker gets into a runoff in Georgia, and though I’m in the minority on this, I think he is more likely than not going to avoid a runoff. More than 2 million early votes are going to be cast in Georgia, and while the metro Atlanta area is dominating, if you look at turnout based on the percentage of registered voters in each county, it is Republican areas already surging into the lead. That was before this week, and this week sees high GOP early voting in Georgia every election.

Assuming that pattern holds up, I’ll plant my flag for sure in the “no runoff” camp.

In Arizona, it is definitely a toss-up now, and Masters has a very real shot.