THE SHOW NOTES: Polling Data, Fareed Zakaria's Message, & Bill Clinton’s Pollster

Welcome! The UN quietly revised the death toll of women and children in Gaza by half.

WATCH: Jerry Seinfeld on privilege at his Duke commencement address.

MUST READ: La Leche League Erases Mothers - The Free Press

HEADLINE: Psaki's new book falsely recounts Biden's watch check in troop ceremony - Axios

DATA: Suddenly There Aren’t Enough Babies. The Whole World Is Alarmed. - WSJ (free)

OOPS: 1,500 Georgia State University applicants got acceptance emails. It was a mistake - CNN

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New York Times: Biden Is Losing

The White House is in panic mode this morning over brand new polling data from The New York Times. Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in five of six swing states and is significantly ahead in four of them. Here’s the data among likely voters:

• Nevada: Trump 51% (+13) - Biden 38%.

• Georgia: Trump 50% (+9) - Biden 41%.

• Arizona: Trump 49% (+6) - Biden 43%.

• Pennsylvania: Trump 48% (+3) - Biden 45%.

• Wisconsin: Trump 47% (+1) - Biden 46%.

• Michigan: Biden 47% (+1) - Trump 46%

What’s happening: Economic problems and the war in Gaza have expedited the trend of Black and Hispanic voters leaving the Democratic Party. Young voters are leaving Biden over an economy they feel has left them behind and a US foreign policy position in Gaza they oppose.

Ouch: The most damning data point was that only 13% of those who support Biden believe he can “bring major changes in his second term, while even many of those who dislike Mr. Trump grudgingly acknowledge that he would shake up an unsatisfying status quo.” Yikes.

🚨 Must watch: CNN’s Fareed Zakaria excoriated Biden’s reelection chances in his opening monologue. This is extremely noteworthy because this is one of the few shows we know Joe Biden watches regularly.

Here’s how CNN described the polling:

Bill Clinton’s Pollster To Biden: Ditch The Wokes

Mark Penn, Bill Clinton’s pollster and current head of the Harris Poll, has a brutally direct message for the Biden campaign in the pages of the New York Times:

I’ve spent decades looking at the behavior of swing voters and how candidates appeal to them, including for Bill Clinton’s re-election campaign in 1996. If Mr. Biden wants to serve another four years, he has to stop being dragged to the left and chart a different course closer to the center that appeals to those voters who favor bipartisan compromises to our core issues, fiscal discipline and a strong America.

MUST WATCH: Scott Galloway on Hate Speech Against Jews

Trending news:

• David Cameron Slams BBC On Air For Not Calling Hamas ‘Terrorists’: ‘Kidnap Babies, Shoot Children – What More Do They Need To Do?’ - Mediaite

• Democrats running ahead of Biden in 4 key Senate races - The Hill

• GameStop soars 60% as 'Roaring Kitty', who drove meme craze, resurfaces - CNBC

• Russia’s Bombardment of Ukraine Is More Lethal Than Ever - WSJ (free)

• US says Israel’s use of US arms likely violated international law, but evidence is incomplete - AP

• Michael Cohen testifies his job was to do "whatever" Trump wanted - Axios

• Tornadoes tore across the country. Why weren’t they deadlier? - The Washington Post (free)

• Steve Buscemi punched in the face while walking in NYC - CNN

• The Winner of the 2014 Boston Marathon Finally Got Her Prize Money—From a Complete Stranger - WSJ (paywall)

• About 300,000 Gazans Have Fled Rafah, U.N. Says - NYT (paywall)

• Stubbornly High Rents Prevent Fed From Finishing Inflation Fight - WSJ (paywall)

Market snapshot: