THE SHOW NOTES: Trump, McCarthy, Nevada, & Arizona

To answer the question, we’ve gotten the results: The scans are good. Thanks again for the prayers.

Welcome! I’m joining Al Mohler and Allie Beth Stuckey on World News live tonight at 9 PM EST to break down the midterms. Catch the live stream here.

Quote of the day: “In fact, if Democratic senators Catherine Cortez Masto and Raphael Warnock hold their seats, 2022 will be the first Senate election cycle in which no incumbent of either party has been defeated since the 17th Amendment requiring the direct popular election of senators came into effect in 1914.” - City Journal

Headline: New York Democrats know who to blame: Themselves - Politico

WHAT: Rep. Lauren Boebert is ahead by 386 votes with 99% reporting.

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Clip of the day:

Kaitlan Collins @kaitlancollins

Mike Lawler, the New York Republican who unseated the Democratic campaign chair, tells us he wants to see the GOP move on from Trump. “I would like to see the party move forward. I think any time you are focused on the future, you can't so much go to the past,” Lawler says.

Arizona

Blake Masters (R) trails Sen. Mark Kelly (D) by 5 points while Kari Lake (R) lags Katie Hobbs (D) by less than one point with 400,000 remaining in Maricopa County. The next update comes between 5 and 8 PM local time. Here’s the best take:

Dan K. Eberhart @DanKEberhart

This has to change. Florida can count over 7 million votes in a few hours, yet other states take days to count a fraction of that? Whatever vote counting laws Florida has should be the national standard for every state. Period.

washingtonexaminer.comMaricopa County officials say hundreds of thousands of Arizona votes remain uncountedOfficials in Arizona’s Maricopa County say it will take days to count over 400,000 uncounted ballots as the state waits with bated breath to find out the results in the state’s closely watched Senate and gubernatorial races.

Nevada

Adam Laxalt (R) leads Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D) by 15K votes with around 83% reporting. Parts of Nevada claim the counting will stretch into next week.

Adam Paul Laxalt @AdamLaxalt

Of the 84,000 votes left to count in Clark County, Cortez Masto could win 63% of them and she would still lose. That doesn’t even take into account the gains we will make from rural counties.

Speaker McCarthy

Kevin McCarthy may be getting his dream job in the worst way possible. McCarthy has wanted to be Speaker of the House his entire political career and now may get the chance by the slimmest of margins. This means one thing for McCarthy’s reign: chaos. Go read the full story at Politico and watch this bit from CNN.

Kasie Hunt @kasie

What's it going to be like in a hypothetical Speaker McCarthy House under the narrowest of majorities? To be blunt: chaos @CNN

Americans For Prosperity

My friends at Americans for Prosperity hate dysfunctional government almost as much as I do. Unlike think tanks that produce esoteric term papers, Americans for Prosperity is focused on policy solutions that will directly improve people’s lives. They have the largest network of community activists in the country and need your help. Learn more at AmericansForProsperity.org/Erick

Left, Right, & Center turn on Trump:

• Paul Ryan blames disappointing GOP election results on 'Trump hangover' - Fox News

• Here’s how Donald Trump sabotaged the Republican midterms - NY Post

• Trump grapples with 2024 questions amid GOP midterm letdown - CNN

• A tale of two Republican parties - Washington Examiner

• The winner of the midterms is not yet clear – but the loser is Donald Trump - The Guardian

• Pick Now: It’s Trump, or Winning - National Review (paywall)

• Trump Is the Republican Party’s Biggest Loser - WSJ (paywall)

• Trump Under Fire From Within G.O.P. After Midterms - NYT (paywall)

Three tweets that caught my eye:

Benjy Sarlin @BenjySarlin

That MAGA candidates everywhere are largely graciously conceding underscores just how much Stop The Steal was a one-man, top-down phenomenon in 2020. If Trump had conceded, even begrudgingly, it wouldn't have spun out of control. It's really that simple.

Josh Kraushaar @JoshKraushaar

NBC News: “Looking back at last 10 days of the campaign, two things changed – 1) the attack on Paul Pelosi, and 2) Trump’s return to the campaign trail as he flirted with a presidential bid.   Trump’s return might have been the best closing argument Ds could have asked for”

matt mohn @mattmxhn

a good night for polling but not for everyone - here are the best/worst senate pollsters of this cycle from what we know so far

Market snapshot: