Anonymous Yesterday, I highlighted a tweet from Oliver Darcey of CNN admonishing Fox News for airing the President’s rallies, along with Biden and Obama’s rallies. Darcey claimed that because President Trump lies all the time, he should be held to a different standard of coverage than his opponent and the former President on the campaign trail.
RE the New York Post: Isn't it true that the authors of the story "shopped around" for a news outlet to run with the story and that the only source that did was the Post. If no one else would take it, then the sources may not have been reliable.
Putin has claimed that the Bidens did not receive money from Russia. In the past Trump has accepted what Putin said as true, but now?
Perhaps after 4 years of Trump being in the news every day, there are undecided voters who haven't heard Trump (or his supporters) ever focus on jobs or the economy. But I find that hard to believe as Trump talks about it in nearly every public appearance he makes. And even if there were such naive voters, would they really be swayed by a last minute advertisement, since Trump ads have been running in battleground states for some time already? In contrast, the allegations of Bobulinski about Biden-family corruption are a major issue if true and Senators like Johnson (WI) are saying they are. These allegations are being blocked by the media so Trump made the decision to go around the media, first in the final debate, and now with advertisements.
If one looks at the national polls, the RCP average (3.2) was brought closer to the final result (2.1) by a small number of outlier polls, like LA Times / USC Tracking that had Trump winning by a few points for the last 6 months (which was a far different result than most polls that were predicting a Hillary land-side. The USC poll came under considerable criticism from the left because it followed an alternate methodology in 2016 ( https://dailytrojan.com/2016/10/23/uscla-times-poll-criticized-survey-methods/ ). To avoid criticism in 2020, this poll is using the same the methodology as the other 2016 polls and predicting a huge Biden win. But in the last 2 days, I have read that when this poll uses a similar alternate methodology to 2016 it returns a similar result. The alternate methodology used by the USC poll in 2016 is similar to the strategy used by Trafalgar, which was the only poll that came close to accurately predicting results in WI, MI and PA. I advise everybody to wait a week before making bold predictions about how 2020 will be the same/different than 2016.
The average for the state polls for WI, MI, PA were simply not accurate and national polls are virtually irrelevant. If
A booming economy with record low unemployment numbers - until Trump decided to "follow the science" and shut it down as everyone said he should. A foreign policy that is amazing with deals between Israel and 3 Arab countries. Portions of major Democrat-run cities burning and being looted. An opponent that can barely string coherent thoughts together for more than 2 minutes. And the Trump Campaign decides to focus on Hunter?
Trump 2020 is snatching defeat from the jaws of victory by running the worst campaign since Hillary in 2016.
RE the New York Post: Isn't it true that the authors of the story "shopped around" for a news outlet to run with the story and that the only source that did was the Post. If no one else would take it, then the sources may not have been reliable.
Putin has claimed that the Bidens did not receive money from Russia. In the past Trump has accepted what Putin said as true, but now?
Perhaps after 4 years of Trump being in the news every day, there are undecided voters who haven't heard Trump (or his supporters) ever focus on jobs or the economy. But I find that hard to believe as Trump talks about it in nearly every public appearance he makes. And even if there were such naive voters, would they really be swayed by a last minute advertisement, since Trump ads have been running in battleground states for some time already? In contrast, the allegations of Bobulinski about Biden-family corruption are a major issue if true and Senators like Johnson (WI) are saying they are. These allegations are being blocked by the media so Trump made the decision to go around the media, first in the final debate, and now with advertisements.
If one looks at the national polls, the RCP average (3.2) was brought closer to the final result (2.1) by a small number of outlier polls, like LA Times / USC Tracking that had Trump winning by a few points for the last 6 months (which was a far different result than most polls that were predicting a Hillary land-side. The USC poll came under considerable criticism from the left because it followed an alternate methodology in 2016 ( https://dailytrojan.com/2016/10/23/uscla-times-poll-criticized-survey-methods/ ). To avoid criticism in 2020, this poll is using the same the methodology as the other 2016 polls and predicting a huge Biden win. But in the last 2 days, I have read that when this poll uses a similar alternate methodology to 2016 it returns a similar result. The alternate methodology used by the USC poll in 2016 is similar to the strategy used by Trafalgar, which was the only poll that came close to accurately predicting results in WI, MI and PA. I advise everybody to wait a week before making bold predictions about how 2020 will be the same/different than 2016.
The average for the state polls for WI, MI, PA were simply not accurate and national polls are virtually irrelevant. If
Say goodbye to pollsters. They will need a new career path. We need mental health workers. I’ll be happy to train them. Call me Wednesday.
A booming economy with record low unemployment numbers - until Trump decided to "follow the science" and shut it down as everyone said he should. A foreign policy that is amazing with deals between Israel and 3 Arab countries. Portions of major Democrat-run cities burning and being looted. An opponent that can barely string coherent thoughts together for more than 2 minutes. And the Trump Campaign decides to focus on Hunter?
Trump 2020 is snatching defeat from the jaws of victory by running the worst campaign since Hillary in 2016.