59 Comments

"Kamala Harris is running against a man who 100% of Americans have an opinion of and a majority of those Americans hate him."

Truly, Erick? If a majority of 100% of Americans Hate Trump then kiss the Republic Goodbye. Perhaps you meant 100% of Democrats? Or 100% of pollsters who, ignoring the state of the nation, the price of EVERYTHING, the crime spike, and the 11 to 21 MILLION additional unsupervised, unvetted illegal aliens imported to offset a landslide election for the man they hate? That would be believable.

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I’ll take the Hillbilly and the Felon anyday.

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If Republicans were not divided with the old Regime-supporting mean-tween-ego-sensitive having worked to elect Joe Biden and pulling Trump down again this election, gawd awful Kamala Harris would not be a factor even with the full mainstream Democrats media help to prop her up.

If Trump prevents the Democrats from continuing their national destruction agenda, those old Republicans better kiss his feet for succeeding where they can only fail.

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Think back to any primary election of any party. How does the ebb and flow go? When each new candidate declares, they enter the race with a polling surge (often being their peak) and they are looked at freshly by the media. At the same time, all the previously declared candidates hang up on them, beating them into the gang. Before long, the new wears off and the polling and interest return to normal.

It’s an imperfect parallel, but that usually doesn’t get to happen in a general election, and it just kind of did. Look from the perspective of someone who only tunes into politics every four years. You see a fresh face you’re unfamiliar with-a good looking woman who smiles a lot with a seemingly upbeat, personality. Again, probably nobody reading this will think in these terms, but she makes a very good first impression.

But then the new wears off. The blatantly biased media don’t ask her even basic questions. You begin to get oppo research on her. But more than anything else, the more you listen to her the more you realize she really is a clueless twit.

Yeah, that’ll reverse an initial polling surge. When she entered the race, it became a referendum on Trump. Since then, as his ability to stay on message has gone, so have his polling numbers. Who wins the election depends totally on his ability to stay on message for the next four weeks. It’s a referendum on him, his election to win or lose.

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Erick. How much do elections change in the last 28 days?

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Oct 8·edited Oct 8

My take is that she and the Democrats saw it work for Biden to minimize the bad press and let Trump get the bad press by the things he will inevitably say. They have a better shot at winning this way than Kamala and Walz going out and revealing their lack of true policy and understanding of what it takes to be the executive of this country.

Not that either one of them will be truly running the country. Neither Biden nor Harris are running it now.

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My anecdotal evidence is she losing Latinos who also don’t want wide open borders and have also lived under communism and socialism and hated it - all women. One is from Peru, one from Columbia and the last from Cuba. They aren’t MAGA Trumpers and did vote for Biden, but can’t stand Kamala and what she represents.

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Yes, Erick, Kamala is so bad that even a candidate as bad as Trump may just beat her. A sad state of affairs for sure. Most sad to me is that my Republican Party is now dominated by an ignorant base, many proudly so, who are being manipulated by a very smart party elite, many Ivy League grads, who are willing to blatantly lie to stay in favor with Trump. Whatever the result in November, it will be a sad day for the Republican Party, and for America.

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I don’t believe that.

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Okay. Believe what you want.

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DeSantis or Haley would’ve been better IMO, but would’ve, should’ve and could’ve. Regardless, 2028 has a promising bench.

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I'm going to giggle like a teenage girl if Harris loses the election because she lost Pennsylvania.

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If either party had nominated a competent candidate, this race would be over and Nate Silver's Substack would be boring as hell or all about sports.

Also, Harris needs to quit whining about DeSantis. She is not the POTUS today. She will not be the POTUS tomorrow (God willing). She MIGHT be the POTUS on 20 Jan, but not one day sooner, unless the Dems finally tire of the "Weekend At Joey's" presidency after the election.

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Oct 8·edited Oct 8

Kamala Harris is trying like hell to distance herself from Biden, trying to gaslight everyone into thinking that she has had nothing to do with the disastrous policies of the last four years. Even Tim Walz was running around saying "We can't afford another four years of this!" ....... You're 100% correct on that, Timmy boy.

Unfortunately for Biden, he keeps popping up everywhere to remind everyone that, YES, Harris and him are completely linked.... It's like he's deliberately trying to torpedo her campaign.... heck, he's almost 82 years old, what does HE have to lose?? It must be Joe's payback for getting booted off the ballot 🤣🤣🤣

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For Joe it's got to be about pride and ego at this point. In his lucid moments he knows how unceremoniously he was kicked to the curb. And he also knows that if Kamala loses it will forever be his legacy that he allowed Trump 47 to happen.

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We deserve a candidate we can enthusiastically vote FOR, not one we have to use as a vote AGAINST. Say, here's an idea, perhaps, after leading his state through a second natural disaster, the Governor will consider a grooming process once again. 2028 really isn't that far away...

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Oct 8·edited Oct 8

I agree. But if Trump should win everyone is going to be all in for JD Vance. Governor DeSantis should be the Republican candidate. I don’t understand why people could not see that back when the primaries were held.

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Aside from the fact of a variety of republicans ranting about DeSantis not running a good campaign, the fact is that while being one of the most competent and effective elected officials I have ever seen, he is not an inspiring speaker. And, once again, the emotional voter makes decisions based on sparkling personalities, soaring rhetoric, and over the top promises not on policy or competence.

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Yep, agreed, but Trump's machine was just too large and DeSantis could see the handwriting on the wall. Since the media played such a pivotal roll in picking winners and losers, DeSantis could gain no traction. And, I do think, his team could never quite get on the right track.

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I don’t think people were listening, they were too enthralled with the Trump machine. I also believe that Trump was afraid of him that’s why he didn’t participate in any of the debates.

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This comment is anecdotal; i.e., not a poll. In my 'sheltered' rural Georgia 'country Christian' world, i don't know ANY 'definitely voters' who fail to roll their eyes derisively when K.Harris's name is mentioned. Nor do i know any who like DJT's hyperbolic and bluntly insulting rhetoric...nor any who 'hate' him for it. i've been 'likely/definitely voting' for about 50 years, but can only remember being polled a few times. Polls are for pundits, i guess. i'm also guessing most pollsters wouldn't pass a test on statistical sampling theory...therefore, not surprising most results aren't so good. i'm praying for a Republican win, but prepared to accept what El-Elyon 'decides.'

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And, where i live, now a liberal leaning exurb of a large Southern city, all the artists, writers, actors, many restaurant workers will be voting for the Dems because that's what they've always done, their parents, too. Large very conservative, well off minorities will also vote for Dems because the party 'cares' about the chilren. How to change minds......

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i understand. Sad. (also Grrrr)

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And just to add one more factor to your list, there are those voters who aren’t voting FOR Trump, but instead see it as a vote against Kamala. Arrogance and underestimating the intelligence and discernment of those not in the extreme camps on either side can cost you an election. Maybe Hilary can provide some insight on that.

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I’m just gonna say it. Our best candidate is leading his state through two of the worst hurricanes in decades. And sending help to offers at the same time. That’s what a seasoned leader does. I wish we could rip the gates off and start the whole damn thing over.

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i agree, but i guess you'd also agree that's not the 'existential' point... i.e., Who do we/should we vote for given the choice at hand? DT or KH?

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I will vote for DT . We don’t need a President that hides with a Hamas Press for cover.

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Trump of course. There is no other choice. He was my second choice not my first. So I’m stuck like a lot of folks. But anything is better than her.

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I so totally agree with you.

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I sure hope you’re right but I’m very worried. As to the Trump ground game, you’re also right, there’s very little. I went to an organizational meeting for Trump volunteers, gave all my contact info, yet no one ever called me to do anything (phones, door knock, etc). He won’t win that way.

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