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dmk's avatar

Erick, I am in general agreement with your view about the danger of Covid. However, I think your analysis distorts the Covid responses Trump took (which had a very significant impact on limiting the tragedy of Covid infections). These actions were combined with Trump projecting an attitude of confidence that if our country put its emphasis on solving real problems instead of focusing on fear mongering, an out-of-control Covid-pandemic can and will go away. There is a lot of evidence is that our country can return to a relatively normal economic life if people practice basic common sense measures like maintaining social distancing, wearing masks when that is unavoidable (especially in crowded indoor conditions), and getting tested if they have symptoms or have come in contact with a known Covid patient.

In some respects, the Covid virus is no more dangerous than the flu as it has similar or lower death-rates-per-case for many patient ages, but a significantly higher death rate for elderly patients. What made the Covid-2020 pandemic more dangerous than recent annual flu outbreaks was that nobody started with Covid immunity and there was no Covid vaccine available. That was also the case for the 1918 flu pandemic, which had a far higher case and death count than the 2020 Covid-pandemic ( https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/1918-pandemic-h1n1.html#:~:text=It%20is%20estimated%20that%20about,occurring%20in%20the%20United%20States. ): "It is estimated that about 500 million people or one-third of the world's population became infected with this virus. The number of deaths was estimated to be at least 50 million worldwide with about 675,000 occurring in the United States." In comparison, the current worldwide Covid case count is less than 1 million (500x less), the worldwide deaths are less than 1 million (50x less) and the US deaths are about 200K (about 3x less). If Operation Warp Speed delivers a vaccine from multiple vendors before the end of the year (and there are already phase 3 trials in progress), then Covid-2020 will be nowhere near the case/death count of the 1918 flu. But 200K Covid deaths is still a huge number, about 3x-4x a bad US flu year, even though the US has some amount of persistent flu immunity and flu vaccines.

Given that Trump took the following steps to control the Covid virus, it is hard to argue that he was not taking it seriously and downplaying its risks (in a negative sense):

1) The Corona Virus Task Force was initiated on January 29.

2) The China travel ban was announced on January 30.

3) The EU travel ban was announced on March 12.

4) 15 days to slow the spread was announced on March 16.

5) 30 more days to slow the spread was announced on March 30

Trump was downplaying the Covid risk (in a positive sense) because his critics were in major panic mode about ventilator and hospital shortages that were more illusion than reality. On April 2, Trump invoked the Defense Production Act to rapidly produce ventilators and no American needed a ventilator that didn't get one. While many states were requesting obscene amounts of ventilators, the task force supplied ventilators based on where they were most needed when they were needed. Within a few weeks, many states were sending their ventilators back having received more than they needed. A similar scenario applied to the panic over hospital bed shortages, for which Trump sent hospital ships to NYC and CA and quickly built temporary hospital facilities in various Covid hot spots. These facilities ended up being largely unused because the hospitals were stressed in a number of Covid hot spots, but they didn't have major overruns. A similar daily panic was pushed about the lack of tests and within about a month the US was testing at a very high rate and it still is. Trump wasn't downplaying Covid risk, but he was simply doing the right thing to optimize the US response to Covid instead of acting in panic mode which often leads to less than optimal responses. If Trump is judged on his Covid actions (as in James 1:22-25 - a doer of the word), his actions are more golden than dross.

CMJs Marmee's avatar

Just want to say, Erick, how much I appreciate both your thoughtful analysis, and dmk's as well (below). So much to take in and process. I need a day in seclusion to contemplate it all--plus the devastation these lockdowns and remote learning have produced in our young children. Blessings,....

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