THE SHOW NOTES: Debate Day, SCOTUS Headlines, & Biden’s Major Polling Problems
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HEADLINE: Michelle Obama's private frustration with the Bidens - Axios
🚨 MUST READ: Some of the intelligence officials who claimed the Hunter Biden laptop story was Russian disinformation were CIA contractors. - National Review
Me in World Magazine: The fall of Jamaal Bowman - World
NEW: Walgreens will close a significant number US stores - CNN
SCOTUS: Go read Ed Wheelan’s breakdown of today’s SCOTUS rulings.
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Debate Day
Donald Trump squares off against Joe Biden in Atlanta, Georgia on CNN tonight at 9 PM moderated by Jake Tapper and Dana Bash. The unique debate agreement bypasses the decades-old practice of going through the Presidential Debate Commission and instead, both campaigns jointly negotiated terms with CNN.
Details: The debate will feature no opening statements, no live studio audience, and will run 90 minutes with two commercial breaks. Sitting down and prewritten notes will not be allowed. Only paper, pens, and water will be allowed on their podiums.
Here’s how it will look:
Biden’s Major Polling Problems
A New York Times/Sienna College poll conducted after Donald Trump was found guilty of 34 felony charges in New York shows him leading Joe Biden by four points among likely voters in a nationwide poll. Most notably, 26% of Black voters and 38% of Hispanic voters claim they plan to vote for Donald Trump this November.
A Quinnipiac University poll released yesterday also shows Donald Trump leading Biden by four points nationally and by 10 points among independent voters. This particular poll is extra worrisome to the Biden team because Quinnipiac has consistently been a left-leaning poll that has slightly favored the current President. Consider this polling trend from January to today:
A Gallup poll found that Donald Trump’s favorability is near a four-year high while Joe Biden’s has dipped to an 18-year low of 37%. Yikes.
🚨 But worst of all! Polling guru Nate Silver is officially giving Donald Trump a 66% chance of winning the election with a devastating headline reading, The presidential election isn't a toss-up.
Feuding Philadelphia Democrats Threaten Biden's 2024 Chances
A war within Philadelphia’s storied Democratic political machine threatens to cost President Joe Biden the blowout victory he’ll need in the city if he hopes to win reelection.
Leaders of Philadelphia’s Democratic Party have been feuding with progressives and organizers on the party’s left, amid disagreements over policy, the requirements of party discipline and the mechanics of engaging voters to get them to the polls.
It’s a dispute Biden can ill afford. Public polls and party operatives detect low enthusiasm for the 81-year-old president, concerns about his age and the uneven benefits of his economy, and increasing anger about the administration’s support for Israel in the war in Gaza. The president’s struggle to energize critical blocs of young and Black voters comes as his opponent — former President Donald Trump — has set his sights on courting those groups.
Full story at Bloomberg (paywall)
Yikes
Worth Reading
Trending news:
Schiff, Goldman critique Biden over omission of Hamas from White House sexual violence fact sheet - Jewish Insider
Biden seizes debate limelight for "Project 2025" push - Axios
A signature Biden law aimed to boost renewable energy. It also helped a solar company reap billions - AP
Taiwan warns against travel to China after execution threat - NBC
Jamie Dimon says America's school-to-job pipeline is broken - Axios
Russia Sends Waves of Troops to the Front in a Brutal Style of Fighting - NYT (free)
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION v. JARKESY E - SCOTUS
The Vanishing Islands That Failed to Vanish - NYT (paywall)
US Recurring Jobless Claims Rise to Highest Since End of 2021 - Bloomberg (paywall)
Outlier Poll Results Are Inevitable. They’re Also Sometimes Right. - NYT (paywall)
Market snapshot:
The scuttlebutt from two Walmarts closing in North Fulton are that the profits took a huge hit in conjunction with astonishing increases in shoplifting/theft. The Dunwoody police are heaving a sigh of relief, as they regularly get at 2-3 calls a day to the Dunwoody Walmart for shoplifting, soliciting, etc., etc. An anecdote: One day they had five shoplifting arrests within a couple of hours, and one of the shoplifters was stealing with the police only a few feet away. When arrested, the thief admitted that he tried it because he figured the police were too busy to notice. Police say thieves are so brazen that they casually shoplift 50-60" TVs -- just pick it up, put it in a cart, and walk out with it. I do wonder how much theft increased when Walmart moved to primarily self-checkout.
Everyone should watch the HBO-max series “Chernobyl” it’s a definite preview of what a socialist liberal type of government we are heading towards. And if you go into the inner cities it’s already that way.
In one instance the people in charge were not even scientists or experts. But often people hired from unrelated industries. The safety director was a former shoe salesmen.
This is no different than the DEI managers out in place who have no experience or knowledge of the industries they are out in charge of.
But if you want a real and true preview of were America heads to if Biden wins. Watch that show.