Erick Erickson's Confessions of a Political Junkie

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When all you have is a shovel…
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When all you have is a shovel…

Erick-Woods Erickson
Nov 19, 2021
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When all you have is a shovel…
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It is getting brutal for Joe Biden and the Democrats. The President, in press polling, now has his lowest approval rating by average. The ABC/Washington Post poll shows Americans want Republicans in charge of Congress by 10%. That is the highest in the history of the poll.

Other polling shows, "In the eight states expected to have the closest Senate elections...Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin...Biden’s overall job approval rating [is] 33 percent."

Virginia showed voters actually prefer Democrat policies on a host of issues, but the voters were voting to preserve their culture. The reality is voters understand economically that high gas prices and inflation did not exist when Trump was President. They also understand politicians are deflecting blame and responsibility and the voters will hold the accountable anyway. They understand Joe Biden and the Democrats control everything. The worst thing that happened to the Democrats was winning both seats in Georgia. Now they have no scapegoat.

Right now, in Washington, Democrats are preparing their Build Back Better plan. Yesterday, they trumpeted a Moody report that showed the plan would not contribute to inflation. Except, because the Democrats are front loading spending and back ending tax increases, even Moody acknowledges it will increase inflation next year.

On top of that, the Senate Joint Committee on Taxation shows the plan will give tax cuts to two-thirds of people making a million dollars or more. Democrats have suddenly become the party of the rich. They will pay for it by increasing IRS audits on the middle class — something the press has downplayed, but is contemplated in the legislation.

All the Democrats have now is the Build Back Better plan. They have convinced themselves it is their solution to everything. They now claim it is the solution to high gas prices, inflation, climate change, education, healthcare, childcare, eldercare, immigration and hemorrhoids.

All the Democrats possess is a shovel and all they can do is keep digging. They have shackled themselves to legislation that polling tells them people love. But people don’t really know the details. People don’t know the middle class will get more IRS audits so the rich get tax cuts. People don’t know it will not solve gas price problems. People intuit it will cause more inflation and that’s a problem.

Democrats would be smart to kill Build Back Better and run on the bipartisan infrastructure plan. But they have spent a year working on this legislation. They have come too far. They have to pass it. Eventually, and we are almost at that point, they will decide they’re going to lose anyway so they might as well get what they can out of the Treasury.

Doom is coming for the Democrats. The GOP will take back the House. The odds go up daily that the GOP will take back the Senate too. The odds go up daily the GOP will pick up over a hundred state legislative seats.

This, by the way, is one reason we don’t need a rush to a wholesale remake of conservatism. Voters are rejecting progressives for what they know of the left and what they know of the right. Regardless of how conservatives want to rebrand themselves, voters have branded progressivism as progressivism.

The last time that happened the progressives had to start calling themselves liberals until to voters tired of liberalism. This time, progressives have soiled the progressive label far faster than the last time. By next year, they’ll be back to being liberals.

Meanwhile, conservatives can still be conservative without the need for rebranding.

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Paul C
Nov 23, 2021

The question conservatives need to ask the American electorate next year is this: Which philosophical/ideological approach to governance (NOT which political party) is closer to the Founders' vision of the American republic, and which approach will better guarantee and promote the continuation of the civil society? The answer to that question is clearly conservatism, given that the Democrats have been taken over by the most anti-American element possible, namely radical Marxist revolutionaries.

This question also allows true coinservatives, especially those who desire to primary RINO Republican establishment incumbents, to clearly establish themselves as the servant leaders of all the people, and will give them to continue the process already apparent upon a deep dive into the 2020 Congressional election results.

A good starting place is the provisions in the Build Back Broker bill pertaining to the IRS. If Americans really want an army of Lois Lerners shaking down the middle class for every last red cent it can extract, while restoring a "welfare for the 1%" program like the State And Local Tax (SALT) deduction, which has been shown to disproportionately benefit the highest income taxpayers, especially those in high tax Northeastern and Western states https://taxfoundation.org/salt-deduction-salt-cap-repeal/#:~:text=The%20SALT%20deduction%20tends%20to%20benefit%20states%20with,value%20of%20all%20SALT%20deductions%20nationwide%20in%202018. , then they will vote for either Democrats or RINO Republicans. If they'd rather have a fairer tax structure (absent real reform such as the FAIR Tax), they'll cast votes for true conservatives. One can apply this to many other issues, such as crime (do you really want unbrideled anarchy and mass looting by flash mobs to continue?), but you get the idea.

As for now, the only question facing the economy is, "Which will it be, historically high inflation or hyperinflation?" And the answer is either conservatism or for us to totally withdraw from societyin favor of establishing our own self reliant groupings (see Rod Dreher's "The Benedict Option").

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Carol Baril
Nov 19, 2021

I'm praying that the Democrat slaughter next year at the polls will be so large that they won't be able to come back for at least 20 years!!! When I grew up the House was in Democrat control for YEARS!!! It wasn't until Newt and his Contract with America that Republicans got to start pulling back on our leftist move! Would love to see REAL Republican Conservatives have time to pull us back to limited government and more freedom so all those indoctrinated college leftist can experience what REAL Conservatism can do for our country to dispel the myth the Leftist have of Conservativism! Lord God help America!

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