2018 was not a national election year making the polling very different. The Democrats won in the House by dumping big money into suburban districts upset with tax changes reducing SALT deductions, and with ballot harvesting in CA flipping elections long after election day, and with court redistricting that moved urban voters into suburb…
2018 was not a national election year making the polling very different. The Democrats won in the House by dumping big money into suburban districts upset with tax changes reducing SALT deductions, and with ballot harvesting in CA flipping elections long after election day, and with court redistricting that moved urban voters into suburban districts (all unique to 2018). But in 2018, the Republicans won Senate races and increased their majority despite the polls predicting a huge blue wave (remember the Beto-craze in TX and how Democrats were going to take GA house seats in special elections?). In about two weeks, we will know whether 2016 or 2018 is the anomaly in national elections, and if the the huge Biden leads predicted by this years polls are as wrong as the huge Clinton leads were in 2016.
Don't forget all the early retirements brought on us by never trumpers and people believing the Russian collusion hoax. That was not a straight election.
2018 was not a national election year making the polling very different. The Democrats won in the House by dumping big money into suburban districts upset with tax changes reducing SALT deductions, and with ballot harvesting in CA flipping elections long after election day, and with court redistricting that moved urban voters into suburban districts (all unique to 2018). But in 2018, the Republicans won Senate races and increased their majority despite the polls predicting a huge blue wave (remember the Beto-craze in TX and how Democrats were going to take GA house seats in special elections?). In about two weeks, we will know whether 2016 or 2018 is the anomaly in national elections, and if the the huge Biden leads predicted by this years polls are as wrong as the huge Clinton leads were in 2016.
Don't forget all the early retirements brought on us by never trumpers and people believing the Russian collusion hoax. That was not a straight election.